- The value for each player is based off of draft rankings from 20 various sources and from statistical measurements that I have developed. The goal for the draft model continues to be to find where scouts and stats collide. For a more in depth reading on how these numbers come about, I recommend reading my 2019 Draft Rankings.
- This is the value chart for an average draft year and it can be useful tool to evaluate the strength of a draft class. For example, the value of the players ranked 6-9 are 40% higher than in an average draft year, demonstrating that is a very strong draft class at the top end.
- If I was the GM for a lottery team, I would definitely be hoping that I end up selecting in the top 9. The drop off between 9th and 10th is the same as the drop off between 4th and 9th.
- After the top 10 is gone, the variety in opinions really start to open up. I expect that many teams selecting in the latter half of the first round will find a player ranked in the 11-15 range on their draft board who is still available when it is their time to pick.
- Forwards comprise 21 of the top 25 players on my draft board. This is a great year for teams looking for a prospect with top 6 forward potential.
- With doing an objective draft sometimes the results do not align with your own personal opinions. For example, Poirier at 12th is higher than I would personally rank him due to the question marks around his defensive play. However, history has shown that defensemen taken in the first round, who put up elite offensive numbers, tend to have good results at the NHL level.
Hi BB
Just wanted to check in see if you would be preparing a follow-up with the new data that’s come out from sources since this post in February?
Thanks for all you do!
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I will. 75% of the sources I used are up to date. Just waiting on the last ones before I publish my final rankings.
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