In part two of updating my NHL Entry Draft model, the focus changes from looking at the results for defensemen and turning that attention to the forwards. The method of evaluating the forwards is similar to how the defenseman are evaluated, which is using historical rates of return based on draft position and statistical measurements. … Continue reading 2018-19 DRAFT MODEL UPDATE PART II: FORWARDS
Welcome to the Blue Bullet 2017 NHL Entry Draft Guide. Another season is in the books, which means it is now time to turn our attention to those young men who each are trying to make the difficult goal of playing in the NHL. After countless hours of practice and games, 217 of the best … Continue reading BLUE BULLET 2017 NHL ENTRY DRAFT GUIDE
Last June, I created the Blue Bullet Draft Pick Value Chart in which I combined my research on the NHL Entry Draft with that of Michael Schuckers work from 2011. Schuckers fantastic work is based on games played and provides a value for selections 1 through 210. While it is a great start for a draft … Continue reading EXPANDED BLUE BULLET DRAFT PICK VALUE CHART
Knowing the expected draft value of a selection is a useful tool to use when evaluating the NHL Entry Draft. While one of the most popular tools is to use it for analyzing the trade value of a draft pick, there are other ways that expected draft value could provide useful insights. One insight that … Continue reading BREAKING DOWN EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF FORWARDS: CHL VS EUROPE VS THE REST OF N.A.
Previously, I looked at the expected value of a first year draft eligible forward selected in the top ninety overall in the NHL Entry Draft. By looking at the likelihood of a forward reaching the threshold of playing at least 100 NHL games and the likelihood they will reach the threshold of playing at least 100 NHL games … Continue reading EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF A CHL FORWARD SELECTED TOP 90 OVERALL
To understand the present one must know the past. For the NHL Entry Draft this is done by understanding the expected value of a draft pick. By knowing the value of a draft pick, it provides insights into where players have similar odds of success, which allows teams to move comfortably down in the draft while … Continue reading EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF A FORWARD SELECTED TOP 90 OVERALL
For the last few weeks, I have been focusing my research on the expected draft value of defensive prospects, selected in the top 90 overall in the NHL Entry Draft. What I originally found is that there are seven different groupings for defensemen, each with a different likelihood of reaching these three thresholds: At least 100 NHL games … Continue reading ODDS OF SUCCESS: CHL DEFENSEMEN DRAFTED TOP 90 FROM 2011-2015