In part two of updating my NHL Entry Draft model, the focus changes from looking at the results for defensemen and turning that attention to the forwards. The method of evaluating the forwards is similar to how the defenseman are evaluated, which is using historical rates of return based on draft position and statistical measurements. … Continue reading 2018-19 DRAFT MODEL UPDATE PART II: FORWARDS
Welcome to the Blue Bullet 2016 Draft Guide. Another season is in the books, which means it is now time to turn our attention to those young men who each are trying to make the difficult goal of playing in the NHL. After countless hours of practice and games, 211 of the best draft eligible … Continue reading 2016 BLUE BULLET DRAFT GUIDE
Knowing the expected draft value of a selection is a useful tool to use when evaluating the NHL Entry Draft. While one of the most popular tools is to use it for analyzing the trade value of a draft pick, there are other ways that expected draft value could provide useful insights. One insight that … Continue reading BREAKING DOWN EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF FORWARDS: CHL VS EUROPE VS THE REST OF N.A.
Previously, I looked at the expected value of a first year draft eligible forward selected in the top ninety overall in the NHL Entry Draft. By looking at the likelihood of a forward reaching the threshold of playing at least 100 NHL games and the likelihood they will reach the threshold of playing at least 100 NHL games … Continue reading EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF A CHL FORWARD SELECTED TOP 90 OVERALL
To understand the present one must know the past. For the NHL Entry Draft this is done by understanding the expected value of a draft pick. By knowing the value of a draft pick, it provides insights into where players have similar odds of success, which allows teams to move comfortably down in the draft while … Continue reading EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF A FORWARD SELECTED TOP 90 OVERALL
For the last few weeks, I have been focusing my research on the expected draft value of defensive prospects, selected in the top 90 overall in the NHL Entry Draft. What I originally found is that there are seven different groupings for defensemen, each with a different likelihood of reaching these three thresholds: At least 100 NHL games … Continue reading ODDS OF SUCCESS: CHL DEFENSEMEN DRAFTED TOP 90 FROM 2011-2015
A year ago, in of my first posts here at the Blue Bullet Report, I determined that there was no evidence that the point per game of a first year draft eligible CHL defenseman was a factor for their best point per game season in the NHL. What was useful though is the discovery that … Continue reading IMPROVING YOUR ODDS WHEN SELECTING CHL DEFENSEMAN