BREAKING DOWN EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF FORWARDS: CHL VS EUROPE VS THE REST OF N.A.

Knowing the expected draft value of a selection is a useful tool to use when evaluating the NHL Entry Draft. While one of the most popular tools is to use it for analyzing the trade value of a draft pick, there are other ways that expected draft value could provide useful insights. One insight that … Continue reading BREAKING DOWN EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF FORWARDS: CHL VS EUROPE VS THE REST OF N.A.

EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF A CHL FORWARD SELECTED TOP 90 OVERALL

Previously, I looked at the expected value of a first year draft eligible forward selected in the top ninety overall in the NHL Entry Draft. By looking at the likelihood of a forward reaching the threshold of playing at least 100 NHL games and the likelihood they will reach the threshold of playing at least 100 NHL games … Continue reading EXPECTED DRAFT VALUE OF A CHL FORWARD SELECTED TOP 90 OVERALL

ODDS OF SUCCESS: CHL DEFENSEMEN DRAFTED TOP 90 FROM 2011-2015

For the last few weeks, I have been focusing my research on the expected draft value of defensive prospects, selected in the top 90 overall in the NHL Entry Draft. What I originally found is that there are seven different groupings for defensemen, each with a different likelihood of reaching these three thresholds: At least 100 NHL games … Continue reading ODDS OF SUCCESS: CHL DEFENSEMEN DRAFTED TOP 90 FROM 2011-2015

APPLYING THE NHLP FORMULA: CHL FORWARDS DRAFTED 11-15 OVERALL

To evaluate draft eligible CHL forwards, I created a point prediction model called NHLP which predicts their career season point totals in an 82 game season. In  previous posts, I applied the NHLP formula to every CHL forward selected top 10 overall in the draft since 1998. #1-3 Overall #4-6 Overall #7-10 Overall To continue along … Continue reading APPLYING THE NHLP FORMULA: CHL FORWARDS DRAFTED 11-15 OVERALL

HEAVY LIFTING

For the 2015 draft, I looked at what factors were strong predictors for future NHL point potential in regards to first year draft eligible CHL forwards. Through my research, I created a career NHL season point prediction model (nicknamed NHLP for short). The research found that points-per-game was a moderately strong predictor for both power … Continue reading HEAVY LIFTING

REINHART PART DEUX

Previously I analyzed the Reinhart trade, based solely on his draft season and his season following. However, my analysis of Darnell Nurse for his CHL statistical comparable players has expanded that research as to include a player’s draft season+2. Following in the same vein as my research on Nurse let us venture back down the … Continue reading REINHART PART DEUX