Last April, I presented a statistical model (NHLP) which helps predict the future NHL potential for first year draft eligible CHL forwards. The factors used as predictors were points-per-game and age (though age was only found to be a predictor for power play scoring). To improve upon the predictive power of the model another factor … Continue reading NHL POINT PREDICTION MODEL FOR CHL FORWARDS
For the 2015 draft, I looked at what factors were strong predictors for future NHL point potential in regards to first year draft eligible CHL forwards. Through my research, I created a career NHL season point prediction model (nicknamed NHLP for short). The research found that points-per-game was a moderately strong predictor for both power … Continue reading HEAVY LIFTING
Previously I analyzed the Reinhart trade, based solely on his draft season and his season following. However, my analysis of Darnell Nurse for his CHL statistical comparable players has expanded that research as to include a player’s draft season+2. Following in the same vein as my research on Nurse let us venture back down the … Continue reading REINHART PART DEUX
This weekend the Oilers made multiple deals involving the draft but the one on Friday grabbed my attention the most in which they sent the #16 and #33 picks to the NY Islanders in exchange for 21 year old defenseman and former Edmonton Oil King Griffin Reinhart. My initial reaction to this was: With 2012 … Continue reading THOUGH THE OILERS OVERPAID FOR REINHART, HE HAS GOOD VALUE
It is here, it is here. The 2015 NHL Entry Draft is just days away and with the top end talent of Connor McDavid and Jack Eichel, this draft will not be soon forgotten. In addition to the top end of the draft, there is solid picks to be had throughout the first round and … Continue reading BLUE BULLET REPORT 2015 NHL DRAFT GUIDE
When it comes to goalies, it can seem that you are better off putting names on a wall and throwing a dart at the board than actually scouting. However, that does not need to be the case and to better understand the future we need to look at the past to find new information. Without … Continue reading RETHINKING HOW TO DRAFT GOALIES
In trying to determine whether or not I should invest time in a defenseman, I have come up with a system which I previously applied to the 2015 WHL draft crop. For my system for evaluating d-men, I took every d-man drafted between 1998 and 2006 that had 250 NHL games played (at the start … Continue reading ANALYZING THE 2015 NHL DRAFT: OHL D-MEN
One way to evaluate prospects is by comparing them statistically against prior draft years. Typically, most people simply compare just points-per-game but that discounts the fact that different players score a different percentage of their points on the power play versus at even strength. I created what I call the NHL Projection formula (NHLP), which … Continue reading ANALYZING THE 2015 NHL DRAFT: OHL FORWARDS PART II
One way to evaluate prospects is by comparing them statistically against prior draft years. Typically, most people simply compare just points-per-game but that discounts the fact that different players score a different percentage of their points on the power play versus at even strength. I created what I call the NHL Projection formula (NHLP), which … Continue reading ANALYZING THE 2015 NHL DRAFT: OHL FORWARDS PART I
During the month of May the focus of the posts will relate to projecting the NHL offensive potential of first year draft eligible players for the 2015 draft. For the forwards we will use my projection formula called NHLP and for the defensemen, we will use a weight adjusted point formula that values non-power play … Continue reading NHL PROJECTIONS: WHAT MAKES A GOOD TOP 100 PICK
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