Last April, I presented a statistical model (NHLP) which helps predict the future NHL potential for first year draft eligible CHL forwards. The factors used as predictors were points-per-game and age (though age was only found to be a predictor for power play scoring). To improve upon the predictive power of the model another factor … Continue reading NHL POINT PREDICTION MODEL FOR CHL FORWARDS
For the 2015 draft, I looked at what factors were strong predictors for future NHL point potential in regards to first year draft eligible CHL forwards. Through my research, I created a career NHL season point prediction model (nicknamed NHLP for short). The research found that points-per-game was a moderately strong predictor for both power … Continue reading HEAVY LIFTING
Previously I analyzed the Reinhart trade, based solely on his draft season and his season following. However, my analysis of Darnell Nurse for his CHL statistical comparable players has expanded that research as to include a player’s draft season+2. Following in the same vein as my research on Nurse let us venture back down the … Continue reading REINHART PART DEUX
This weekend the Oilers made multiple deals involving the draft but the one on Friday grabbed my attention the most in which they sent the #16 and #33 picks to the NY Islanders in exchange for 21 year old defenseman and former Edmonton Oil King Griffin Reinhart. My initial reaction to this was: With 2012 … Continue reading THOUGH THE OILERS OVERPAID FOR REINHART, HE HAS GOOD VALUE
It is here, it is here. The 2015 NHL Entry Draft is just days away and with the top end talent of Connor McDavid and Jack Eichel, this draft will not be soon forgotten. In addition to the top end of the draft, there is solid picks to be had throughout the first round and … Continue reading BLUE BULLET REPORT 2015 NHL DRAFT GUIDE
After three weeks of breaking down the forwards for the 2015 NHL entry draft, it is finally time to give the defenseman a turn. In an earlier post, I found that junior scoring in defenseman has a weak correlation with their NHL scoring. Due to this, I do not have a formula for projecting offensive … Continue reading ANALYZING THE 2015 NHL DRAFT: WHL D-MEN
In Part III, we will look at the WHL forwards that project to have 40-45 point potential. As I get more familiar scanning the comparable players and have more time to do so, I am being able to better zero on what round of a pick to use on a player. The criteria for comparable … Continue reading 2015 WHL FORWARDS: STATISTICAL PROJECTIONS AND COMPARABLES (PART 3)
In Part II, we will look at the WHL forwards that project to have 45-50 point potential. For Part II, I have added the breakdown for percentage of picks from each round. Since the number of picks in a round varies over the years, I consider selections 1-30 as a 1st rounder, 31-60 as a … Continue reading 2015 WHL FORWARDS: STATISTICAL PROJECTIONS AND COMPARABLES (PART 2)
It is finally time to start evaluating the talent in the 2015 NHL Entry Draft and to start it off we will examine the forwards from the WHL. One way to evaluate prospects is by comparing them statistically against prior draft years. To do so, we will use the NHL Projection formula (NHLP) which projects … Continue reading 2015 WHL FORWARDS: STATISTICAL PROJECTIONS AND COMPARABLES (PART 1)
During the month of May the focus of the posts will relate to projecting the NHL offensive potential of first year draft eligible players for the 2015 draft. For the forwards we will use my projection formula called NHLP and for the defensemen, we will use a weight adjusted point formula that values non-power play … Continue reading NHL PROJECTIONS: WHAT MAKES A GOOD TOP 100 PICK
BLUE BULLET REPORT 